WHAT IS “THE PATHWAY TO ZERO?

The Pathway to Zero is Arkansas’s long-term, fiscally responsible roadmap to completely eliminate the state’s personal income tax while strengthening the economy and protecting core public services. It’s not a reckless tax cut—it’s a structured plan built on growth, reserve safeguards, and clear triggers that ensure every step forward is earned. At its core, the Pathway to Zero does three things:

Simplifies the tax code with a flat, pro-growth rate.

The journey starts by unifying Arkansas’s complicated tax tables and adopting a lower, flat income tax—making the system fairer, more impartial, and easier for families and small businesses to navigate.

Uses automatic revenue and reserve triggers to keep the state fiscally strong.

Arkansas reduces its income tax only when the economy grows, revenues exceed expectations, and the state’s reserves are fully funded. These triggers—modeled on successful reforms in other states—ensure tax cuts are responsible, sustainable, and protected from economic shocks.

Creates a predictable glide path to eliminate the tax over time.

Instead of rushing, the plan lowers rates in small, steady steps—typically 0.25 percentage points at a time—allowing Arkansas to reach zero without disrupting schools, roads, or essential services. This gradual approach gives families certainty, gives businesses confidence, and lets lawmakers plan ahead.

WHY IT MATTERS

The Pathway to Zero is designed to make Arkansas one of the most competitive states in the country—attracting talent, investment, and opportunity. Eliminating the income tax helps workers keep more of what they earn, makes it easier for employers to grow, and encourages more people to call Arkansas home.

But it’s also a commitment to do things the right way:
• No unfunded promises.
• No budget chaos.
• No cuts without growth.
Just a clear, responsible, and transparent path to long-term prosperity.

KEY FACTS ABOUT ARKANSAS'S TAX CODE

Arkansas has made real progress lowering tax rates in recent years, but the state still relies on complex, multi-bracket systems for both personal and corporate income taxes. Here’s where things stand today:

Personal Income Tax

  • Arkansas uses a graduated rate structure with multiple brackets and separate rate tables.
  • Arkansas has a highly complex dual-rate system that very few states have.
  • The top rate is 3.9%, effective January 1, 2024.
  • Lower-income Arkansans pay between 0% and 3.4%, depending on their bracket.
  • Brackets adjust annually for inflation, but the dual-table system adds unnecessary complexity.
  • Despite recent rate reductions, Arkansas still has one of the more complicated income-tax structures in the region.

Corporate Income Tax

  • The state imposes a graduated corporate income tax, not a flat rate.
  • Rates range from 1% to 4.3%, with the top rate applying to taxable income above $11,000.
  • Arkansas recently lowered the top corporate rate from 4.8% to 4.3%, signaling positive momentum.
  • For small and mid-sized businesses, the bracketed system can create compliance challenges and planning uncertainty.
  • Neighboring states like Louisiana have moved to simpler flat-rate systems, increasing competitive pressure.

Why This Matters

  • Multiple rate tables and bracket structures make Arkansas’s tax system harder for families and businesses to navigate.
  • Complication undermines competitiveness—especially as neighboring states pursue low, flat taxes.
  • Simplifying the structure is a crucial step toward a flatter, fairer tax code and ultimately a Pathway to Zero.

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MISCONCEPTIONS ABOUT ARKANSAS' INCOME TAX REFORM

“Arkansas cannot afford income tax cuts.”

Arkansas can afford responsible, phased-in reductions when they are paired with strong reserve requirements and revenue triggers. Well-designed tax reforms rely on economic growth—not optimistic guessing—to fund each step. Arkansas currently maintains healthy reserves, consistent revenue growth, and one of the most stable budget positions in the region. When tied to real fiscal benchmarks, incremental tax cuts are entirely affordable.

“Income tax cuts will lead to cuts in state services.”

Not when structured correctly. Growth-driven tax relief only occurs when revenues and reserves meet conservative thresholds, ensuring education, healthcare, public safety, and other core services remain fully funded. States like North Carolina and Tennessee successfully reduced income taxes while increasing investment in key services because expanded economic activity broadened the revenue base.

“Income tax cuts will create chaos in state government.”

Instability comes from unpredictable budgeting—not from disciplined tax policy. Trigger-based reforms actually increase predictability by tying every reduction to measurable fiscal conditions. This approach provides agencies, lawmakers, and taxpayers with clear expectations about when changes can occur.

“Income tax cuts endanger the health and well-being of Arkansans.”

A stronger economy improves well-being. When families keep more of what they earn and businesses face fewer barriers to expanding and hiring, communities benefit. Responsible tax reform—grounded in guardrails and focused on growth—supports higher take-home pay, more job opportunities, and long-term prosperity for Arkansas households.

“Income tax cuts conflict with the Arkansas Constitution's balanced-budget requirement.”

The balanced-budget requirement remains fully intact under responsible tax reform. Triggered reductions ensure taxes only fall when revenues and reserves justify it. This prevents deficits and automatically aligns tax changes with the state’s constitutional obligations.

“Revenue surpluses used to pay for income tax cuts are just a temporary economic fluke.”

Arkansas has recorded multiple years of surpluses before, during, and after federal stimulus periods. While stimulus affected collections nationwide, Arkansas’s strong revenue performance is also the result of conservative budgeting, population growth, and an improving business climate. These trends indicate structural strength, not a short-term anomaly.

“Revenue surpluses are a forecasting trick by economists.”

Arkansas uses widely adopted, nonpartisan forecasting practices comparable to those in many other states. Surpluses have occurred consistently because the state’s economy has performed well—not because of accounting gimmicks or manipulated projections.

“Surpluses are only because of federal stimulus spending from the Trump and Biden administrations.”

Stimulus did temporarily boost collections, but Arkansas’s surpluses began before stimulus programs and continued after those effects diminished. States with prudent budgeting and growing economies—Arkansas included—have maintained above-forecast revenues even as federal support receded.

“Income tax cuts endanger Arkansas’s credit rating.”

Credit rating agencies look for stable reserves, balanced budgets, and predictable fiscal policy. A trigger-based framework reinforces all three. Other states that implemented gradual, structured income tax reductions—such as Utah, North Carolina, and Tennessee—maintained or improved strong credit ratings because their reforms emphasized stability and guardrails.

“There is no evidence that income tax cuts improve economic performance.”

Research across states shows that lower income tax burdens can increase investment, attract new residents, expand the labor force, and encourage small business formation. States with no income tax—such as Texas, Florida, and Tennessee—consistently rank among the nation’s leaders in job creation, population growth, and new business activity. While tax policy is not the only factor, it plays a measurable role in competitiveness.

“Income tax cuts are a giveaway to the rich, and they require raising taxes on the poor.”

This is not the case with a responsibly designed reform plan. Structured approaches often include raising the standard deduction, simplifying brackets, and protecting lower-income taxpayers from any increase. A predictable, flatter system can benefit workers, families, and small businesses while maintaining protections for vulnerable households. Growth-driven reforms can expand opportunities across all income levels.

Support Arkansas's Pathway to Zero

Thanks for standing up for Arkansas!

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